← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Sep 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ross Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Port Vale −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ryan Croasdale · Port Vale |
| 9' | 🟨 | Connor Hall · Port Vale |
| 13' | ⚽ | Aaron Connolly · Leyton Orient |
| 44' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 52' | ⚽ | Devante Cole · Port Vale |
| 53' | 🟨 | Omar Beckles · Leyton Orient |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Charlie Wellens · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days |
| 36.00 |
| 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1537.30 | 1610.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.80 | -21.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |