← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Coy, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 20% | 5.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford −0.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| AFC Wimbledon −0.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Marcus Browne · AFC Wimbledon |
| 32' | ⚽ | Joe Wright · Bradford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mathew Stevens · AFC Wimbledon |
| 61' | ⚽ | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jake Reeves · AFC Wimbledon |
| 83' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days |
| 29.00 |
| 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1594.81 | 1543.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.07 | 13.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.22 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.99 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |