← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Blackpool win | 28% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton +0.25 | 52% | 1.98 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 48% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Teddy Sharman-Lowe · Blackpool |
| 35' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 38' | 🟨 | Daniel Imray · Blackpool |
| 61' | ⚽ | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days |
| 29.00 |
| 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.79 |
| elo | 1557.27 | 1541.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.67 | -0.23 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.71 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 12.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 42.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |