← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Edward Duckworth, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Barnsley win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Barnsley +0 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 15' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 36' | 🟥 | Owen Goodman · Huddersfield |
| 39' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 44' | ⚽ | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 68' | 🟨 | Joe Taylor · Huddersfield |
| 85' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 87' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1469.73 | 1476.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.98 | 54.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.84 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |