← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Reading win | 22% | 4.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reading −0.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ben Elliott · Reading |
| 42' | ⚽ | Mamadi Camara · Reading |
| 44' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 50' | 🟨 | Mamadi Camara · Reading |
| 82' | 🟨 | Paddy Lane · Reading |
| 89' | ⚽ | James Tilley · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anders Hagelskjær · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1596.77 | 1526.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.52 | -64.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.79 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |