← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.36 |
| Burton win | 16% | 6.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Burton −1 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Udoka Godwin-Malife · Burton |
| 31' | 🟥 | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jayden Fevrier · Stockport |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
| 77' | ⚽ | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1709.34 | 1533.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.66 | -12.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |