← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Mansfield win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.98 |
| Over | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Regan Hendry · Mansfield |
| 29' | ⚽ | Regan Hendry · Mansfield |
| 37' | ⚽ | Josh Koroma · Leyton Orient |
| 42' | 🟨 | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
| 50' | 🟨 | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 51' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 62' | 🟨 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 62' | 🟥 | Idris El Mizouni · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luke Bolton · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1524.40 | 1646.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.64 | 2.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |