← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 23, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Rotherham win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 52% | 1.82 |
| Wigan +0.25 | 48% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Liam Kelly · Rotherham |
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Sean Raggett · Wigan |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tyrese Francois · Wigan |
| 60' | ⚽ | Shaun McWilliams · Rotherham |
| 66' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 80' | ⚽ | — · Rotherham |
| 88' | ⚽ | Paul Mullin · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dara Costelloe · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1516.50 | 1529.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.22 | 2.43 |
| eye test v1 | -1.52 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |