← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Aug 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Exeter win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Exeter −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Tom Dean · Exeter |
| 27' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alex Lowry · Wycombe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jack Fitzwater · Exeter |
| 83' | ⚽ (og) | Jack Grimmer · Exeter |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Taylor Allen · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1611.18 | 1506.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.89 | -2.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| league points | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |