← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Aug 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Bradford win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Stockport −0.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Owen Moxon · Stockport |
| 43' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 49' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Bradford |
| 72' | ⚽ | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 74' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tommy Leigh · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1724.59 | 1581.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.39 | 12.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | 1.04 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |