← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Aug 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Doncaster win | 29% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.25 | 50% | 1.92 |
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Murray Wallace · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 50' | 🟨 | George Broadbent · Doncaster |
| 60' | 🟨 | Billy Sharp · Doncaster |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ben Wiles · Huddersfield |
| 83' | 🟨 | Connor O'Riordan · Doncaster |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Joe Taylor · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1498.25 | 1623.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.77 | 29.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |