← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Leyton Orient win | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 49% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Aaron Connolly · Leyton Orient |
| 21' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 29' | ⚽ | Nathan Lowe · Stockport |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
| 35' | 🟨 | Daniel Happe · Leyton Orient |
| 36' | ⚽ | Joseph Olowu · Stockport |
| 57' | ⚽ | Aaron Connolly · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.19 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1640.64 | 1725.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.16 | 39.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.83 | 1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |