← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Wycombe win | 30% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Doncaster −0.25 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jamie Mullins · Wycombe |
| 56' | ⚽ | Billy Sharp · Doncaster |
| 71' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Wycombe |
| 75' | 🟨 | Connor O'Riordan · Doncaster |
| 84' | 🟨 | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 90' | 🟨 | George Broadbent · Doncaster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1625.21 | 1609.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.25 | -67.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | — |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | 1.08 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |