← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 39% | 2.58 |
| Stockport win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Wycombe −0.25 | 45% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 19' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
| 65' | 🟨 | Connor Taylor · Wycombe |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jamie Mullins · Wycombe |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1617.92 | 1716.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.17 | 27.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.13 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.40 | 1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |