← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 54% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Peterboro win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.75 | 51% | 2.03 |
| Luton +0.75 | 49% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 60' | ⚽ | Mads Juel Andersen · Luton |
| 62' | 🟨 | David Okagbue · Peterboro |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mads Juel Andersen · Luton |
| 82' | 🟨 | Brandon Khela · Peterboro |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nahki Wells · Luton |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jordan Clark · Luton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 4.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1491.00 | 1427.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.01 | 40.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.69 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.69 |
| solidity v1 | — | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | — | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | — | 1.10 |