← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 39% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Charlton win | 29% | 3.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 18' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ryan Longman · Wrexham |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 81' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days |
| 1395.00 |
| 450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1681.62 | 1650.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.23 | 44.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 86.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.79 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |