← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Rotherham win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Rotherham −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jack Diamond · Stockport |
| 60' | ⚽ | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 1258.00 |
| 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1681.06 | 1547.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.24 | 6.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.00 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 74.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |