← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Crawley Town win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Stevenage −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Harvey White · Stevenage |
| 50' | 🟨 | Charlie Goode · Stevenage |
| 70' | ⚽ | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days |
| 369.00 |
| 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1516.49 | 1446.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.09 | 10.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| league points | 49.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |