← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Rotherham win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Rotherham +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jake Beesley · Blackpool |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Sonny Carey · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jake Beesley · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟥 | Jake Beesley · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joe Rafferty · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days |
| 35.00 |
| 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1522.96 | 1628.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.50 | 27.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| league points | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |