← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Northampton win | 26% | 3.64 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 27' | 🟥 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 27' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 41' | ⚽ | Dara Costelloe · Northampton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tom Eaves · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 8 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 13 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days |
| 825.00 |
| 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1553.96 | 1489.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.53 | -14.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 48.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 56.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -2.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -1.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |