← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 72% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.82 |
| Shrewsbury win | 9% | 12.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Shrewsbury −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 42' | 🟨 | Xavier Simons · Wycombe |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alex Lowry · Wycombe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jamal Blackman · Shrewsbury |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Feeney · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 33 | Shots | 2 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| 59.00 |
| 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1668.35 | 1445.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.12 | -44.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.53 |
| league points | 74.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 61.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 3.16 | 3.16 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -2.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.71 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |