← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Burton win | 29% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Daniel Agyei · Leyton Orient |
| 41' | 🟨 | Diallang Jaiyesimi · Leyton Orient |
| 60' | ⚽ | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 64' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · Burton |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kyran Lofthouse · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days |
| 121.00 |
| 1127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1530.95 | 1617.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.56 | -20.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| league points | 36.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.26 | 4.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |