← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Mather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Rotherham win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Sonny Bradley · Wycombe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 66' | ⚽ | Louie Sibley · Rotherham |
| 69' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sonny Bradley · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gideon Kodua · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 17.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1540.77 | 1654.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.30 | -20.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |