← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scott
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Wigan win | 18% | 5.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Charlton −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Charlton |
| 24' | 🟨 | Oliver Norburn · Wigan |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
| 38' | ⚽ | Matt Godden · Charlton |
| 84' | ⚽ | Chris Sze · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 408.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 4.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1606.35 | 1511.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.33 | 13.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 63.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| travel km | — | 292.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |