← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Cambridge win | 28% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cambridge +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | James Gibbons · Cambridge |
| 35' | 🟨 | Abraham Odoh · Peterboro |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bradley Ihionvien · Peterboro |
| 62' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 71' | 🟨 | Kelland Watts · Cambridge |
| 72' | ⚽ | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sam Hughes · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟥 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 42.00 | 804.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1465.71 | 1529.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.50 | 33.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| league points | 29.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.83 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |