← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Crawley Town win | 20% | 4.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Charlton +0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 37' | ⚽ | Thierry Small · Charlton |
| 56' | 🟨 | Junior Quitirna · Crawley Town |
| 79' | 🟨 | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
| 80' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 10.00 | 404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1435.43 | 1599.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.33 | 30.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| league points | 30.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 64.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -1.07 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |