← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Rollason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Mansfield win | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Mansfield −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 61' | 🟨 | Caylan Vickers · Mansfield |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jordan Roberts · Stevenage |
| 71' | 🟨 | Baily Cargill · Mansfield |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jordan Rhodes · Mansfield |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 341.00 | 1588.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1535.58 | 1523.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.54 | -27.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 42.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 47.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |