← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Crawley Town win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Reading +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 43' | 🟨 | Louie Watson · Crawley Town |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ben Radcliffe · Crawley Town |
| 86' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 87' | 🟨 | Chem Campbell · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Panutche Camará · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 7.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1434.38 | 1530.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.44 | 19.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.07 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |