← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 69% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.88 |
| Burton win | 11% | 8.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Burton −1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
| 44' | 🟨 | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Jack Armer · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Owen Dodgson · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 31.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1661.23 | 1538.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.50 | 9.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 66.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 64.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | -1.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |