← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Mar 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Northampton win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stockport +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 43' | 🟨 | Max Dyche · Northampton |
| 49' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Northampton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 79' | ⚽ | Benoný Breki Andrésson · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 93.00 | 1219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1501.34 | 1659.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.23 | -1.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.41 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |