← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Woods
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Shrewsbury win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟥 | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 8' | ⚽ | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 35' | ⚽ | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 42' | 🟨 | Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jadel Katongo · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Chris Conn-Clarke · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 790.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1512.57 | 1489.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.78 | -17.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 56.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -2.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |