← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Cambridge win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cambridge −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Kami Doyle · Cambridge |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ryan Loft · Cambridge |
| 47' | 🟨 | Junior Quitirna · Crawley Town |
| 60' | 🟥 | Rushian Hepburn-Murphy · Crawley Town |
| 64' | ⚽ | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
| 66' | 🟥 | James Gibbons · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Bishop · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 0.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1461.77 | 1471.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.41 | 12.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |