← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Lincoln win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Barnsley −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 25' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 33' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 53' | ⚽ | Georgie Gent · Barnsley |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dom Jefferies · Lincoln |
| 67' | ⚽ | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
| 76' | ⚽ | Max Watters · Barnsley |
| 84' | ⚽ | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 0.00 | 486.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1545.81 | 1546.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.91 | -0.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| league points | 49.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |