← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Northampton win | 25% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Northampton +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 59' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 68' | 🟨 | Dara Costelloe · Northampton |
| 73' | 🟨 | Stephen Humphrys · Barnsley |
| 76' | 🟨 | Josh Earl · Barnsley |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Barnsley |
| 87' | 🟥 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 86.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1510.63 | 1534.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.09 | -12.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.38 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 36.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.22 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |