← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 42% | 2.27 |
| Mansfield win | 30% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Calum MacDonald · Wrexham |
| 16' | ⚽ | Calum MacDonald · Mansfield |
| 56' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Mansfield |
| 58' | ⚽ | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aden Flint · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 1575.00 | 1333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1532.27 | 1642.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.41 | -9.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.70 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 38.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.03 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |