← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 65% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.41 |
| Exeter win | 13% | 7.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter −1.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Charlton −1.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
| 20' | ⚽ (og) | Angus MacDonald · Charlton |
| 51' | 🟨 | Demetri Mitchell · Exeter |
| 55' | 🟨 | Joel Colwill · Exeter |
| 68' | ⚽ | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 69' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 72' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Charlton |
| 84' | ⚽ | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 387.00 | 875.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1563.02 | 1512.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.21 | -34.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.50 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| league points | 50.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |