← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Purkiss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 42% | 2.38 |
| Leyton Orient win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Bolton −0.25 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 60' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 65' | 🟨 | William Forrester · Bolton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 75' | 🟨 | Josh Keeley · Leyton Orient |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Aaron Morley · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Forino · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 52.00 | 1089.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1574.33 | 1660.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.05 | 34.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.82 |
| league points | 50.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |