← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reeves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| Crawley Town win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Crawley Town −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Niall Ennis · Blackpool |
| 18' | ⚽ | Niall Ennis · Blackpool |
| 30' | ⚽ | Kami Doyle · Crawley Town |
| 32' | 🟥 | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lee Evans · Blackpool |
| 57' | 🟨 | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Lee Evans · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 174.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1584.89 | 1469.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.25 | 7.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| league points | 41.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |