← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 28% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Leyton Orient −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 30' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jamie Donley · Leyton Orient |
| 78' | 🟨 | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 87' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 87' | 🟥 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jayden Sweeney · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days | 1328.00 | 1085.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1654.36 | 1648.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.17 | 30.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| league points | 58.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.41 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |