← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Durkin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 51% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 |
| Burton win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Burton −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 57' | 🟥 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 79' | 🟨 | Owen Dodgson · Burton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Udoka Godwin-Malife · Burton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Crocombe · Burton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 323.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1538.20 | 1515.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.62 | 12.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 36.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |