← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Eley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Crawley Town win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Crawley Town +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 42' | ⚽ | Charlie Barker · Crawley Town |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 52' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Wigan |
| 63' | 🟨 | Tyreece John-Jules · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 27 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 17 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 140.00 | 779.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1470.75 | 1497.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.05 | -19.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| league points | 28.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |