← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Peterboro win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stevenage −0.5 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 49' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
| 55' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 67' | ⚽ | Cian Hayes · Peterboro |
| 71' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 320.00 | 776.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1541.12 | 1496.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.76 | -26.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 40.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |