← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Durkin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Shrewsbury win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bolton +0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Vadaine Oliver · Shrewsbury |
| 31' | 🟨 | Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury |
| 59' | ⚽ | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jay Matete · Bolton |
| 63' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alex Gilliead · Shrewsbury |
| 70' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gethin Jones · Bolton |
| 79' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Hoole · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 106.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1352.05 | 1522.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.24 | 1.52 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 27.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -3.06 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |