← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Reading win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Rotherham +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Rotherham |
| 24' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 35' | 🟨 | Reece James · Rotherham |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zak Jules · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 76.00 | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1509.96 | 1547.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.34 | -25.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 46.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |