← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Crawley Town win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Crawley Town +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 20' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
| 22' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 83' | 🟨 | Garath McCleary · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 137.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1466.81 | 1671.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.27 | -9.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |