← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Charlton win | 17% | 6.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Birmingham −1 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 27' | 🟨 | Tomoki Iwata · Birmingham |
| 30' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 35' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ethan Laird · Birmingham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kieran Dowell · Birmingham |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jay Stansfield · Birmingham |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alexander Gilbert · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 259.00 | 380.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1676.15 | 1568.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.63 | 42.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 71.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 66.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 2.36 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.42 | — |
| state index | 1.24 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 170.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |