← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Gill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Mansfield win | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 17' | ⚽ | Randell Williams · Leyton Orient |
| 32' | ⚽ | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alfie Kilgour · Mansfield |
| 56' | 🟨 | Caylan Vickers · Mansfield |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 73' | 🟨 | Lucas Akins · Mansfield |
| 88' | 🟨 | Hiram Boateng · Mansfield |
| 89' | 🟨 | Darren Pratley · Leyton Orient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Calum MacDonald · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| coach days | 1078.00 | 1563.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1631.70 | 1562.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.15 | -63.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 44.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |