← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Purkiss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Crawley Town win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Stevenage +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 47' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 50' | ⚽ | Harry Forster · Crawley Town |
| 53' | ⚽ | Brandon Hanlan · Stevenage |
| 54' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dan Sweeney · Stevenage |
| 87' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Crawley Town |
| 89' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kami Doyle · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 133.00 | 316.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1449.74 | 1558.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.48 | 13.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| league points | 24.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |