← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Peterboro win | 23% | 4.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Peterboro −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Peterboro |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Matt Godden · Charlton |
| 58' | 🟥 | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
| 60' | 🟨 | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kayne Ramsay · Charlton |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Mothersille · Peterboro |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ricky-Jade Jones · Peterboro |
| 89' | ⚽ | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 376.00 | 772.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1561.82 | 1503.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.80 | -18.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.80 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| league points | 47.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 9.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |