← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Copeland
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Cambridge win | 19% | 5.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Cambridge −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Freddie Draper · Lincoln |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sean Roughan · Lincoln |
| 42' | ⚽ | James Gibbons · Cambridge |
| 82' | 🟨 | Conor McGrandles · Lincoln |
| 84' | 🟨 | Adam Jackson · Lincoln |
| 86' | 🟥 | Joe Gardner · Lincoln |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ben House · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jubril Okedina · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 465.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1546.87 | 1463.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.97 | 5.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |